Nuclear Threat in Korean Peninsula


Nuclear Threat in Korean Peninsula

North Korea has recently threatened USA and its ally South Korea with nuclear war. This shrill threat has once again drawn world’s attention towards Korean Peninsula and has reminded the world that region still needs of result-oriented joint diplomatic efforts and humanitarian actions to pull the region back from war or war like situation. This region happens to be a hedge of disputes amongst various nations , however, this dispute is unique in a way that North Korea is a nuclear power with missile technology suffering various kinds of sanctions from USA-led countries and finds it fighting for its survival as a Marxist Hermit State.

 

 

What is the intention of North Korea?

 

 

It’s not evident but many diplomatic experts urge that the purpose of North Korean leadership is to behave like “it is looking for a fight but it doesn’t want to start a war it knows it can’t win. It wants to appear volatile to gain concessions from stronger nations.”

 
But so far North Korea is successful a little only as it has now shifted the region’s attention to refrain South Korea from accidentally or intentionally launching a pre-emptive attack on North Korea. Some experts also believe that the warlike rhetoric of North Korea is to exert pressure on USA and rest of the World to recognize it as a proven legitimate Nuclear State.

 

 

Does North Korea have the capability to hit USA?

 

North Korea has yet maintained the mystery about its nuclear-cum-ballistic missile program and World is not sure exactly about its actual capabilities to throw away a nuclear bomb. Pentagon spokesman George Little said “it would be inaccurate to suggest that the North Korean regime has fully tested, developed or demonstrated the kinds of nuclear capabilities referenced in the passage”. The strong voices inside the U.S. government are that North Korea does not yet have a nuclear device that would fit longer-range missiles that conceivably could hit the U.S. mainland. Despite the unanimous voices about North Korean capabilities, it does not mean that danger is null and void and threat is absurd. It’s yet a game of possibilities. In wake of launching a Musudan missile, whose range of 3,500 km (2,100 miles) would put Japan within striking distance from North Korea, USA has been beefing up missile defenses in Alaska and Guam in the Pacific.

 

 

A decent reaction from South Korea

 

Despite the fact that South Korea may be the main target of any possible aggression from North Korea, its President Park Geun-hye said that she was open to resume talks with the North Korea and would continue to offer humanitarian aid. Her long-standing policy is that the North Korea needs to abandon its nuclear program before it gets aid. South Korea also called for negotiations with North Korea on the future of the Kaesong joint industrial zone, which North Korea has threatened to shut down permanently after suspending operations. Although South Korean analysts urge that the impoverished state would not dare to close Kaesong as it’s a crucial source of hard currency for it.

 

 

Is USA actually testing China Diplomacy over North Korea?

 

 

USA is emphasizing China, closest ally of North Korea, to use all its leverage to refrain North Korea’s “destabilizing” actions on the Korean peninsula, China has been the main source of financial aid to North Korea for last several years which depends on China for 65 percent of its imports, but China itself is very much concerned about the adverse effects of irresponsible attitude of North Korea on its strategic interests. USA seems hopeful that China ‘would do a lot of things to restrain the flow of energy and food to North Korea… hold back on new investment’. In diplomatic circles it is truly said that actually it’s a test of China’s patience and recent North Korean move may result into dwindling Chinese strategic options in Pacific.

 

What “dilemma” China is facing?

China considers North Korea under present regime a fortress wall of a buffer state and hence does not want to take any measure that can result into a collapse of the Pyongyang regime and any such situation does not suite China that can lead toward “facilitate the unification of Korea,” bringing South Korean ally US on China’s doorstep. Moreover China has a fear that if any instability arises in North Korea will send floods of refugees into China.

 

 

What is a way out for China from this difficult situation that may turn into a hunting trap? Imposition of further U.N. sanctions on North Korea will put Chinese companies into more difficult situation which are dealing with North Korea. John Kerry has opened US demands of “denuclearization” of North Korea by peaceful means but it’s unclear what extraordinary concessions US can offer to North Korea for its development and humanitarian aid and what concrete guarantee can be provided for its national security and sovereignty if it agrees to abandon its nuclear program?



Syed Shahzad Alam

A content developer at Jang Group of Companies. He can be contacted at [email protected]

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  • Tufail Ahmed Abro

    The Asia pacific region has emerged as the hub
    of political , geo-economic and geo-strategic in the post cold war era. East
    Asia, South East Asia, South Asia , Australia, Russia in North pacific, north
    and south America, pacific islands these made significance of region. The rise
    of china , resurgence of India , usa-japan and south Korea collaboration,
    national maritime and nuclear weapon developments. In the region which is
    vitally important waterways economies are booming. And the most important
    factor is that global power shift from Atlantic to transatlantic. Regional
    security and cooperation and economic joints i-e APEC, SCO,ASEAN.

  • S Nasrullah

    The assessment of the Diplomatic experts on the subject carries wisdom and weight when they sum up the North Korean belligerence as : ” it is looking for a fight but it doesn’t want to start a war it knows it can’t win. It wants to appear volatile to gain concessions from stronger nations.” While the North Korea is ruled by inexperienced youth, who may be fired with ultra nationalist emotions, but the USA Leadership under President Obama have signaled responses that are seasoned, stable and sensible. The Nuclear capability of North Korea is suspect and its Missile delivery system is in its stages of infancy. When Russia, as a close rival to USA in terms of Super Power reckoning, embarked on a mission to install sophisticated and Advanced Defense System in Cuba; a cool and composed JFK resorted to Blockade of Cuba and the alarmed and the anguished World was at pains to avoid the conflict escalating into Global War. The shoe hammering Gorbachev was petrified and backed out.

    As a protege of China, North Korea, tends to exploit the benevolence and the bounty of a benefactor that provides N. Korea with blanket of concessions as a reliable Ally that wields tremendous economic and military muscle internationally and that as a Permanent Member of the SC of UN, North Korea cannot be unduly castigated or censored. As the emerging Super Power, China needs to insure its moral and material superiority to remain unquestionable and a great deal of responsibility lies on China to handle the Korea_US stand-off with deft diplomacy.

  • MOULANA ROOMEE

    EVERYBODY SHOULD REMEMBER THAT THE GREAT NORTH KOREA CAN VERY EASILY WIN THE WAR AGAINST THE EVIL POWERS LIKE USA ,SOUTH KOREA ETC.

  • Tariq

    keeping nuclear war heads is the sovereign guaranty for a perfect defense. Countries like Pakistan which can not spend trillions on weapons and army. Holding a war head is the only best option they got. A long borders with enemies and a week economy cant allow our country to hold a huge army and conventional weapons, so the only reasonable solution is to keep making few hundred Atomic Bomb which can threat the opponents easily.

    • Raj Chouhan

      India is one of the only 5 countries in the world which has fool proof indigenous anti missile shield and have 1000s of anti rocket missiles with tested pin point accuracy . However, one atomic bomb will make the same effect on the existence of humanity which hundreds of atomic bomb would make. HEARTS CAN BE WIN BY SMILE NOT BY HATRED, therefore, think only of PEACE and not of Atomic Bombs.

    • M.Saeed

      We need to be human in humanity.
      War is an animalistic vice and
      must be eradicated like any other deadly virus terrorizing the future of humanity.
      We must think about our unborn generations before going into any madness pushing
      them back into wilderness from glories.

  • Bilal

    Did N.Korea find the courage to threat U.S from the results of the Afghan War which U.S has completely lost?

  • S Nasrullah

    The assessment of the Diplomatic experts on the subject carries wisdom and weight when they sum up the North Korean belligerence as : ” it is looking for a fight but it doesn’t want to start a war it knows it can’t win. It wants to appear volatile to gain concessions from stronger nations.” While the North Korea is ruled by inexperienced youth, who may be fired with ultra nationalist emotions, but the USA Leadership under President Obama have signaled responses that are seasoned, stable and sensible. The Nuclear capability of North Korea is suspect and its Missile delivery system is in its stages of infancy. When Russia, as a close rival to USA in terms of Super Power reckoning, embarked on a mission to install sophisticated and Advanced Defense System in Cuba; a cool and composed JFK resorted to Blockade of Cuba and the alarmed and the anguished World was at pains to avoid the conflict escalating into Global War. The shoe hammering Khruschev was petrified and backed out.

    As a protege of China, North Korea, tends to exploit the benevolence and the bounty of a benefactor that provides N. Korea with blanket of concessions as a reliable Ally that wields tremendous economic and military muscle internationally and that as a Permanent Member of the SC of UN, North Korea cannot be unduly castigated or censored. As the emerging Super Power, China needs to insure its moral and material superiority to remain unquestionable and a great deal of responsibility lies on China to handle the Korea_US stand-off with deft diplomacy.

  • Raj Chouhan

    Yes, I swear Mr. Hashmi, any thing which can eliminate the humanity must be finished at earliest. It is a shameful for those nations who have such a destructive pile of arsenals and “LANAT” on those who brags to use them against their adversaries without understanding its consequences. God forbid the day any insane nation uses it first it would be the last day for the whole humanity on this earth. It would not stop on one attack but would attract hundreds of counter and counter/chain attacks in whole of the world. Nothing is bigger than PEACE. I have many time stated in my comments to just stop this foolishness of aggression and counter aggression . Concentrate on progressing of peace and not of war. Hashmi sahab, I know you would not believe me but I swear if any body comes and asks my life against the peace and love among the people of Pakistan and India, I swear I would not think even for a second in sacrificing my life. May God bless us all and give us strength and brain to help in progressing of peace and humanity in the world.

    • Farooq Hashmi

      My dear Mr.Rai Chouhan, it’s heartening that the spate of acrimonious sentiments has abated. it’s hoped that the placidity of the stream of mutuality, which is very essence of the Blog Forum, is not agitated again by rolling a boulder of cold-blooded enmity into it.Please keep it up conscientiously. Thank you.